October 1, 2001- Global Warming And Climate Change

One of the more fiercely debated subjects before the current crisis set in was the issue of global warming and climactic changes. We had global meetings on this subject in Kyoto, Japan where a treaty was drafted that the United States refused to agree to sign on to. All of this hubbub was caused by all these environmental studies that said that mankind was drastically altering the climate of the planet by what he was doing. These studies all warned of a dire fate that would befall civilization unless these issues were rectified properly and quickly. Many of these studies were funded by the various governments of the world, and most all of them reached the same conclusions as any privately funded studies on the subject, mainly that mankind was heading for global environmental disaster unless he drastically changed his ways. So we had these various conferences on the subject, with the last one being held in Kyoto earlier this year. As I stated earlier, the United States walked out of this meeting refusing to sign the agreement. None of this had anything to do with real environmental reasons, it was all basically political ones that were behind all of this. The US didn't agree with the language of the treaty that said that developed First World countries were responsible for a disproportionate part of the environmental damage simply because they were developed countries. That was pure politics without any real scientific basis behind it. Most of that last meeting was political bullshit all the way. You had windbags like Castro going on and on against the USA just because he doesn't like them, not because of any environmental concerns that he might have. Posturing was the name of the game there, not any real environmental work. However, a treaty was drafted there. It is supposed to be a framework for future environmental laws and regulations so that they can be done right from the start. It is hard to conceive that mankind could write any type of concrete treaty on this subject at this time in history. No, not because of the current world crisis, but because of other reasons.

The biggest reason that mankind cannot possibly draft a real treaty about this shit right now is because he just does not have enough knowledge on the subject to do so. Oh, he may think that he does, but he does not at all. It is true that weather forecasting today is better than it ever was in the past, but you need to look at what it was in the past to really understand that. Mankind has only has the proper equipment to be able to make anything close to reasonable weather forecasts for about a century now. That shit from the olden days where someone was looking at the fuckin' sky all the time to predict weather doesn't count. That shit was never accurate except in places like a desert or something where the weather was almost always the same. It doesn't take much to look at the desert sky and say that it won't rain today every day, because you will be right over 90% of the time doing that. In places other that those, you had problems. Since Western Civilization came from Europe, things weren't too hard there either. Europe is a temperate climate in most of it, which means that the weather doesn't fluctuate much there. There are clearly defined seasons, and the weather cycles flowed through those rather regularly, meaning that Western man didn't have to get too awfully complicated in his weather forecasting. When he came to the New World he had problems though. When he got to the parts of this continent that can have three or four kinds of seasons weather within a day's time (like Chicago), he was way fucked. He had to start to get serious about this weather forecasting shit now. So he did. He used balloon technology when that became available, sending weather balloons up into the sky to se what he could find out. It helped, but there were still minor problems like the hurricane that blasted Galveston, Texas in 1900 and killed scores of people and did much damage because they didn't know that it was coming. However, mankind had his eyes on the sky and was on the verge of building successful flying machines and shit like that. When he did, he improved his forecasting abilities greatly. Things got better, but there was another one of those pesky hurricanes that took him by surprise in 1935, and those annoying floods and shit. Then, man got into outer space, and really souped things up. His satellites improved weather prognostications by amounts unimaginable in the past. This new technology not only gave mankind a really good overview of the planet's weather cycles, but it is what gave him the idea that he was wrecking the environment by his deeds, for the "evidence" was now being seen by him for the first time of the results of his deeds. This is what started all this global warming shit up in the first place.

Many might think that there's nothing wrong with this scenario. After all, man has been improving himself in this regard for a century now, and a century is a long time, hell it's even longer than the time period between World Series Championships for the Chicago Cubs. Satellites have been in orbit for like 40 years now, and that's a long time too. So shouldn't mankind have been able to accurately find out just what the results of his actions in this context are by now? No, not at all. A century might seem like a long time, but in reality it isn't, especially in this situation. Look at the fact that mankind has been on this planet for as long as 100,000 years now. A period of 100 years is nothing compared to that. Add to that fact that the Earth is estimated to be 4 and one-half billion years old, and has head its weather patterns for at least half that time and maybe more, a century looks even more microscopic. When you have something that has been going on as ling as these weather patterns of Earth have, they would tend to get into very, very large and slow cycles that took a hell of a long time to complete and start anew again. Man has identified weather cycles that do repeat within a century, but those are the really short cycles in the big picture. Man still has no fuckin' idea what's normal and what isn't with the planet's weather cycles at this point in time. He is just now starting to find out how huge and slow the real cycles are. It's going to take him many more centuries of improvement and observation before he has any true idea of what's really happening here. One century is nothing. After about 100 more of them, then maybe we're getting somewhere.

However, man in his infinite ego, feels that he has an accurate handle on all of this shit right now,. And thusly makes his treaties. His biggest concern is that of global warming. With his satellite technology, man is now able to take accurate temperature readings, and with them he has seen the aggregate temperature of the Earth rise a bit. With his orbiting satellites and their cameras, he has seen melting in the polar ice cap areas. This has alarmed him greatly. He has become convinced that the emissions of his products and shit is contributing to this. The "Greenhouse Gases" have risen to such great quantities in the air that they have now kept the sun's heat from radiating off of the Earth properly, thus leading to the rise in worldwide temperatures that man has discovered lately. That's what man has concluded, and has called his meetings to take steps to stop this. Man has not yet understood that he has yet to do something that has put more pollutants or whatever you want to call them into the atmosphere than nature has over and over again in the 4 and one-half billion years of the planet. Man has only to look back to 1883 and the eruption of the volcano Krakatoa in the Indonesian archipelago and what that did. That entire island blew up with infinetley more force than all of man's atomic weaponry shit even today and spewed tons of shit into the atmosphere. It did that to such an extent that the world was a much cooler place for three years, for it took that long for all the debris to settle down out of the atmosphere. You had the
"Years Without a Summer" in America in 1883 and 1884, and America was on the other side of the world for the volcano. That's how much shit was thrown out here. Mankind can only hope top duplicate that feat by unleashing a shitload of his atomic weaponry on himself. Since he has not done that, the effects that his gases are having on the planet are inconclusive, at best. Man does not know if these temperature changes that he has recorded are really of his doing or if they are part of one of those long, slow cycles of the planet.

Man sees all of this and freaks out anyway. He has decided to change his behavior just to be safe, I guess. Man seems to feel that he has the power to destroy the planet not through his warlike ways, but through his everyday ways. Man is giving himself way too much fuckin' credit once again. Earth is a resilient place. Man has also found out much about the past history of the planet in this last century as well. He has seen that cataclysms have been a regular part of the planet's past. There have been not one, but two mass extinctions of life on Earth that he knows of. Both of these occurred long before he came onto the scene. The most famous one is the one that killed off the last of the dinosaurs some 65 million years ago. That one was not caused by anything that any terrestrial creatures did, but by a huge meteor smashing into the Earth. The impact caused catastrophic damage and killed off the dinosaurs, who at the time were the dominant life forms on the planet. There was another mass extinction, a much, much worse one, that happened about 225 million years ago. It seems that this was also caused by another gargantuan meteor smashing into Earth. This one was far worse, for it killed off over 90% of the life on the planet. Virtually everything on the land and in the seas was killed. But not everything was killed in this catastrophe. The under 10% of the life that was left went and slowly repopulated the planet again. They did such a good job that there was a shitload of life there to undergo a second mass extinction and survive that as well and recover from it once again.

Mankind needs to look at these historical facts and realize that his effects on the Earth's environment are probably not a severe as he thinks that they are. If there were these two incidents that destroyed almost all the life on the planet and earth has rebounded from these incidents nicely, man should settle down and realize that he isn't anywhere near as close to destroying things as he gives himself credit for. He should stop using his newfound environmental knowledge to play politics and accuse others of this and that when he doesn't know who's doing what, if anything at all. He does need to study what he's learning to make certain that disaster can be avoided, but he doesn't need to use that as a tool to harass anyone politically, socially, or in any other way. If man stops playing politics with what he's learning here and uses his newfound knowledge properly, he can help himself live in better harmony with the planet. If he uses it as a platform for long-winded political shitheads to blow it out their fuckin' asses, then he's doing no one any good at all.